Warren
Buffett stock basics
Today
I´m going to write about a easy way Warren Buffett used to pick
stocks while working for Benjamin Graham. This is a fast to learn
trick to determine stocks that are worth investigating and possibly
investing.
3
Important terms are: Market Price, Earnings (Potential Returns) and
Book Value (Margin of Safety)
Price/earnings
– Ratio:
With
the P/E- Ratio you can determine how high your potential Return is.
For example a P/E- Ratio of 25 indicates a potential Return of 4%,
assuming the company could turn all of the earnings into money thats
actually realised to your pocket.
P/E
Ratio =20 → Return= 5%
P/E
Ratio =15 → Return= 6.6%
P/E
Ratio =10 → Return= 10%
P/E
Ratio = 5 → Return= 20%
What
you should expect is, if the P/E Ratio is really low and the
potential Return is high, your margin of safety is going to be worse.
Price
to Book Value:
To
show you what this means we´re doing a little example.
The
Price of a company is $1000 and it´s Book Value is at $70.
→ P/BV-
Ratio : $1000/$70 = 14.28
→ Every
14.28 dollars paid for this company has $1 in book value.
So
you´re searching for a low P/BV- Ratio.
P/BV
Ratio = 5 → Safety 20%
If
you bought a company for $1000 and would need to end the business
today you would get 20% of your investment back.
P/BV
Ratio =3 → Safety 33%
P/BV
Ratio =2 → Safety 50%
P/BV
Ratio =1 → Safety 100%
P/BV
Ratio =.7 → Safety 143%
Now
what to do with this information ?
Warren
Buffett and Benjamin Graham were focusing on finding a business with
a P/E of 15 or lower and a P/BV of 1.5 or lower.
They
decided to multiply those numbers together → 15*1.5=22.5
Therefore
if P/E * P/BV < 22.5
then
this company needed to be looked at.
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